December Model Selections

Sector Model - November Return  +3.11%

For December - 5 slots - 20% each    DOG, PSQ, SH, GLD, 20% CASH

The sector model is still defensive, but now with a long position in gold.  If December unfolds as a rally month as my Dow Weekly Wave Count entry suggests, this model may move to the sidelines.  We shall see.

Country Model - November Return   +0.45%

For December - 5 Slots - 20% each        20% EFZ and 80% cash

The country model is only selecting EFZ (Inverse of EFA) once again as it remains very defensive as well.  The other 80% of the model remains in cash.


Currency Model - November Return    +0.02%

For December - 3 slots - 33.3% each       33.3% UUP and 66.7% cash

The US Dollar remains the lone currency play in this group with the other two slots in cash.  


Paired Index Model - November Return   +3.31%

For December- 2 slots - 50% each   -  DIA and PSQ

This model continues to hold DIA along with PSQ.   



Putting It All Together - November Return  +2.02%

This return was produced by combining the models as follows:

30% Sector, 30% Paired Index, 20% Country, and 20% Currency.


2008 Overall Return: +14.5%


By combining all models for December, the positions will be:

6% DOG (Inverse ETF)

4% EFZ (International Inverse ETF)

6% SH  (Inverse ETF)

6.66% UUP

21% PSQ (Inverse ETF)

15% DIA

6% GLD

35.34% Cash

The model still has  a defensive look with a net overall inverse position.  If these positions move against us, we have stops in place to take us out.

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